فراتحلیل روابط با جنس مخالف قبل از ازدواج در بین جوانان در 15 سال گذشته (1394-1380) در ایران

نوع مقاله : علمی - پژوهشی

نویسنده

مؤسسه مطالعات و مدیریت جامع و تخصصی جمعیت

چکیده

هدف این تحقیق، برآورد شیوع روابط‌ جنسی با جنس مخالف قبل از ازدواج در بین جوانان در ایران به تفکیک جنس، به روش فراتحلیل، بر اساس مطالعات انجام شده طی 15 سال گذشته (1380 تا 1394) است. از بین 147 مقاله منتشر شده و گزارشات، تعداد 15 مورد معیارهای لازم برای ورود به فراتحلیل را داشتند. داده‌ها با استفاده از نرم‌افزارهای MEDCALC و CMA مورد تحلیل قرار گرفتند. حجم‌ نمونه مورد بررسی 14989 نوجوان و جوان دانشجو و غیردانشجو در شهرهای تهران، قزوین، تبریز، شاهرود، اصفهان، قوچان، کرج و لرستان با میانگین سنی6/16 تا 5/23 سال بود. شیوع رابطه جنسی قبل از ازدواج در تهران %5/22 و در سایر استان‌ها %7/14 برآورد شد. میانگین کشوری، بدون در نظر گرفتن سهم جمعیت تهران به کل کشور، %1/19 و پس از در نظر گرفتن سهم جمعیت تهران به کل کشور، %16 برآورد شد. این شیوع در پسران به طور قابل ملاحظه‌ای بیشتر از دختران (%1/29 در برابر %12) است. ناهمگونی قابل توجهی بر اساس جنس و منطقه جغرافیایی دیده می‌شود. بنابراین حدود یک‌ششم جوانان در معرض خطرات سلامتی (بیماری‌ها) و اجتماعی (افزایش سن ازدواج) ناشی از این روابط هستند که ضرورت برنامه‌ریزی برای رویارویی با عواقب این پدیده را بیش از پیش مشخص می‌کند.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Meta Analysis of Premarital Heterosexual Relationships among Young People in Iran over the Past 15 Years (2001-2015)

نویسنده [English]

  • Farideh Khalajabadi Farahani
National Population Studies and Comprehensive Management Institute, Tehran, Iran
چکیده [English]

This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of premarital sex with the opposite sex among young people in Iran using meta analysis, differentiated with gender, age group and place of residence according to previous studies over the past 15 years (2001- 2015). Among 147 published papers and reports, fifteen studies which met the criteria were selected. The data were analyzed using software of MEDCALC and CMA. The total sample size was 14989 adolescents and young people, non college students and college students, who were residents of Tehran, Ghazvin, Tabriz, Shahroud, Isfahan, Ghoochan, Karaj, and Lorestan with an age range of 16.6-23.5 years. The prevalence of premarital sex was estimated to be 22.5% in Tehran and 14.7% in other provinces. Without considering the weighted rate based on the proportion of the population of Tehran to the whole country, the mean would be 19.1% (CI: 14.4%-24.5%), and with considering the weighted rate it would be 16%. This rate is remarkably greater among men than women (29.1% vs. 12.0%). A significant heterogeneity is observed by gender and geographical locations.  Hence, about one sixth of the young populations in Iran are exposed to health risks (diseases) and social outcomes (delay at marriage) because of such relations which requires planning to encounter the conesquences of such phenomenon more than before.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Sexual Behavior
  • Adolescents
  • Young people
  • Systematic Rreview
  • Sexual Health

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